Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1, ESPN 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Italy	Como TV
Japan	Fuji TV Next
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Sportklub 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Willem II		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.42	Watch
	7.25	4.6	1.42
	7.3	4.65	1.42	Watch
	7.32	4.66	1.43	Watch
	7	4.4	1.4
	7.3	4.65	1.43	Watch
	7.3	4.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↓ (7.7)	4.62 ↓ (5.41)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
13.1%

Draw
20.4%

Feyenoord
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

17.5%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.1%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Willem II - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: Feyenoord will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 30. Behounek R. 4. Schouten E. (C) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Bosch J. 6. Lambert B. 17. Joosten P. 18. Bokila J. 16. Meerveld R.	1. Bijlow J. (G) 26. Read G. 18. Trauner G. 33. Hancko D. (C) 16. Bueno H. 6. Zerrouki R. 10. Stengs C. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 27. Milambo A. 14. Paixao I. 29. Gimenez S.
Substitutes
21. Ahmed Fatah A. 11. Kehrer E. 48. Mathijsen J. 35. Razak K. 14. Sandra C. 41. Schut M. (G) 19. Sylla Y. 25. Tirpan M. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.	21. Andreev P. (G) 3. Beelen T. 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 17. Ivanusec L. 20. Mitchell J. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 38. Osman I. 5. Smal G. 9. Ueda A. 22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 24. Zechiel G.
Coaches
Maes P.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', St. Jago T. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Joosten P. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
71', Bueno H. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽,
80', Doodeman N. ↓, Tirpan M. ↑,
80', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
82', Zerrouki R. ↓, Zechiel G. ↑,
82', Paixao I. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
87', Meerveld R. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
89', Read G. ↓, Ueda A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Willem II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.

In this match Feyenoord is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Nizet R. (Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Lotomba J. (Broken Leg) Nieuwkoop B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Injury) Tirpan M. (Injury) Vaesen K. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Hartman Q. (Knee Injury) Hwang In-Beom (Injury) Ueda A. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Willem II won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:48 (average 0.7:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6:23 (average 0.7:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
12.01.25	Twente - Willem II	6:2 ✺
22.12.24	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	4:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Noordwijk - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.24	Zwolle - Willem II	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Willem II - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL
- Feyenoord
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - Feyenoord	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.01.25	Feyenoord - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	MVV Maastricht - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.24	Feyenoord - Willem II	1:1
02.04.22	Feyenoord - Willem II	2:0
15.08.21	Willem II - Feyenoord	0:4
14.02.21	Feyenoord - Willem II	5:0
04.10.20	Willem II - Feyenoord	1:4
08.03.20	Feyenoord - Willem II	2:0
01.09.19	Willem II - Feyenoord	0:1

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