The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zwolle 49.6%
Draw 27.8%
Willem II 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
28.2%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
28.5%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
20.6%
8.8%
Zwolle - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 57.5% โ 87.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 28. Graves S. (C) 33. van der Haar D. 34. Fichtinger N. 6. El Azzouzi A. 11. Mbayo D. 35. Monteiro J. 18. Velanas O. 9. Vente D.
1. Didillon T. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 30. Behounek R. 4. Schouten E. (C) 7. Doodeman N. 8. Bosch J. 34. Lachkar A. 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 16. Meerveld R. 18. Bokila J. 17. Joosten P.
Substitutes
29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 38. Gijselhart T. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 50. Krastev F. 5. Lutonda T. 37. Oukhattou M. 23. Reijnders E. 10. Van Den Berg D. 25. Vermeer K. (G)
11. Kehrer E. 6. Lambert B. 48. Mathijsen J. 15. Pivas M. 35. Razak K. 41. Schut M. (G) 51. van Aalst U. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.
Coaches
Jansen J.
Maes P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Meerveld R. ⚽, Joosten P. (A),
32', Aertssen O. ↓, Reijnders E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fichtinger N. ↓, Van Den Berg D. ↑,
61', Graves S. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
63', St. Jago T. 🟨,
71', Bokila J. 🟨,
72', Monteiro J. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
74', Behounek R. 🟨,
75', Joosten P. ↓, Lambert B. ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 3.
Recent matches Zwolle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Willem II is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Zwolle is a favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Sandra C.
(Injury)
Vaesen K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Zwolle: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Lagsir S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ahmed Fatah A.
(Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knock)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26:20 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
Netherlands
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Schendelaar J. (G) 
Garcia MacNulty A. 
Graves S. (C) 
El Azzouzi A. 
Mbayo D. 
Monteiro J. 
Vente D. 
Didillon T. (G) 
Behounek R. 
Sigurgeirsson R. 
Bokila J. 
Krastev F. 
Reijnders E. 
Kehrer E. 
Pivas M. 
