Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	Eurosport
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Triller TV+


	Twente		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.8	9.5
	1.36	4.65	9.6	Watch
	1.44	5.09	7.8
	1.42	4.81	6.96	Watch
	1.35	4.75	9
	1.37	5.05	8	Watch
	1.36	4.65	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.88 ↑ (4.81)	8.62 ↑ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
69.4%

Draw
19.5%

Willem II
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

18.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Twente - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Lagerbielke G. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 5. Kuipers B. 8. Regeer Y. 23. Sadilek M. 11. Rots D. 14. Steijn S. 18. Vlap M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C)	1. Didillon T. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 30. Behounek R. 4. Schouten E. (C) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Bosch J. 6. Lambert B. 17. Joosten P. 18. Bokila J. 16. Meerveld R.
Substitutes
41. Besselink G. 38. Bruns M. 6. Eiting C. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 30. Ltaief S. 24. Mesbahi J. 39. Rots M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 22. Tyton P. (G) 7. van Bergen M. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.	21. Ahmed Fatah A. 11. Kehrer E. 48. Mathijsen J. 15. Pivas M. 14. Sandra C. 41. Schut M. (G) 19. Sylla Y. 51. van Aalst U. 24. van den Berg C. (G)
Coaches
Oosting J.	Maes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Steijn S. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽, Meerveld R. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Steijn S. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Joosten P. ⚽, Meerveld R. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Regeer Y. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
50', 3 - 2, Steijn S. (Pen),
68', 4 - 2, van Wolfswinkel R. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
70', Kuipers B. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
74', Bosch J. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
75', Doodeman N. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
79', 5 - 2, Sadilek M. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),
82', Sadilek M. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
82', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
82', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
86', Rots D. ↓, van Bergen M. ↑,
88', Joosten P. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
88', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 2, Eiting C. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Twente won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Twente have a series of guest games.

In this match Twente is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Willem II: Sylla Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Hilgers M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Tirpan M. (Injury) Vaesen K. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Twente won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30:24 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Twente won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	Katwijk - Twente	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	Twente - Groningen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Twente	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTL
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	4:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Noordwijk - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.24	Zwolle - Willem II	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Willem II - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Groningen - Willem II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Willem II - Twente	0:1
22.01.22	Willem II - Twente	0:1
17.10.21	Twente - Willem II	1:1
06.03.21	Twente - Willem II	1:1
17.10.20	Willem II - Twente	0:3
10.05.20	Willem II - Twente	Canceled
19.10.19	Twente - Willem II	0:1

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