Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Wimborne Town		Bath City

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Wimborne Town
27.4%

Draw
25%

Bath City
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Replayed if draw.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bath will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
10.09.25	Gosport Borough - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Berkhamsted - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Wimborne Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Farnham Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Wimborne Town - Uxbridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTT
- Bath City
English National League South
06.09.25	Chesham United - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLTW

Wimborne Town - Bath City