Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.82	3.25	2.32
	2.9	3.33	2.38
	16.16	8.80	1.11	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	2.94	3.26	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (2.86)	4.16 ↑ (3.44)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
21.3%

Draw
26.4%

Maidenhead United
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maidenhead United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maidenhead United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Bath City - Maidenhead United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Maidenhead will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bath (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Batten J. (Own goal),
24', 0 - 2, Popoola J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Dulson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 4, Popoola J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maidenhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bath won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bath City - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWL
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
30.08.25	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Maidenhead United - Horsham	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Maidenhead United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Enfield Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.04.17	Bath City - Maidenhead United	1:5
12.11.16	Maidenhead United - Bath City	2:1
25.03.16	Maidenhead United - Bath City	3:1
18.08.15	Bath City - Maidenhead United	2:1
04.01.15	Maidenhead United - Bath City	1:1
15.11.14	Bath City - Maidenhead United	4:0
08.03.14	Maidenhead United - Bath City	0:1

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