Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Wimborne Town		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.67
	3.75	3.9	1.68
	3.75	4.2	1.72
	4.08	4.19	1.72
	3.75	4	1.67
	4.44	4.17	1.82	Watch
	3.75	4.2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.94)	4.09 ↓ (4.2)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
23.7%

Draw
22.5%

Weston-super-Mare
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.4%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21.4%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Wimborne Town - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimborne won 2.

Wimborne is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weston-super-Mare in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wimborne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Weston-super-Mare is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wimborne won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimborne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
10.09.24	Totton - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Wimborne Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Wimborne Town - Walton & Hersham	0:4 ✺
17.08.24	Gloucester City - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
07.09.24	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Weston-super-Mare - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.03.22	Wimborne Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:4
12.02.22	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	2:0
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:2
English Southern League South Division
17.10.20	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:2
11.02.20	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	5:0
28.09.19	Wimborne Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
31.10.26	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	✺
28.10.26	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	✺

Wimborne Town - Weston-super-Mare