Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	St Albans City		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	2.96	3.46	2.29
	2.98	3.37	2.31
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.04	3.28	2.25
	2.95	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.5)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	2.24 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
31%

Draw
27.7%

Weston-super-Mare
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Albans City's form might have worsened.

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Albans City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

St Albans City - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 4.

St Albans has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Weston-super-Mare in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently St Albans have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Weston-super-Mare to win the game is with odds 2.21.

Last 13 head-to-head matches St Albans won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-10.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
03.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Dorking Wanderers - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	St Albans City - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Hornchurch - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
03.09.24	Weston-super-Mare - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:2
21.11.23	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
12.03.19	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
11.08.18	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	2:3
20.03.18	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:2
12.08.17	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	3:1
17.04.17	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	3:0

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