Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.88
	2.29	3.3	3.05
	2.28	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.4	2.93
	2.28	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.12)	3.31 ↓ (3.56)	2.93 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
40.4%

Draw
28%

Hornchurch
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Weston super Mare - Hornchurch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Balanta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Hearn H. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Dawes W. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English National League South
03.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- AFC Hornchurch
English FA Trophy
20.01.26	Hornchurch - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
17.01.26	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	3:2
29.03.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	2:4
31.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	3:2
08.12.12	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:0
01.09.12	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	0:0

Upcoming Matches