Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Winchester City		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.5	3.6	2.36
	2.45	4.09	2.31
	2.54	3.97	2.39
	2.48	3.55	2.35
	2.5	3.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)	3.72 ↑ (3.44)	2.35 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
36.6%

Draw
24.5%

Bracknell Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Winchester City - Bracknell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', Smith M. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Winchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 2.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 3.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bracknell Town - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Sholing - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Winchester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Winchester City - Sittingbourne	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Frome Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWT
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
07.12.24	Bracknell Town - Sholing	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Gloucester City - Bracknell Town	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	3:1
05.12.23	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	5:0
28.01.23	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	3:1
01.11.22	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	2:3

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