Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Larges Lane (Bracknell)


	Bracknell Town		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.5
	2.13	4.1	2.6
	2.37	4.33	2.38
	2.36	4.29	2.45
	2.31	3.74	2.44
	2.13	4.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.38)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
41%

Draw
22.4%

Merthyr Town
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Scrimshaw J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 2, Frazer T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Bracknell is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merthyr is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bracknell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bracknell won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bracknell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
16.11.24	Gloucester City - Bracknell Town	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bracknell Town - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTWT
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
26.11.24	Chertsey Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Dorchester Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Merthyr Town - Havant & Waterlooville	5:1 ✺
02.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Merthyr Town - Frome Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.03.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	3:2
10.02.24	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	2:3
14.02.23	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:0
13.08.22	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	1:3

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