Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Winchester City		Totton

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.9	1.57
	4.7	4	1.57
	4.91	4.38	1.58
	5	4.21	1.59
	4.5	3.75	1.62
	5.38	4.05	1.5
	4.7	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.78)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
19.1%

Draw
22.7%

Totton
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

22.1%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Winchester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+1%)

Winchester City - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Lee T. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Tomasso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Barron J. ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Blair T. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Agberhiere O. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Totton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Totton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
21.12.24	Wimborne Town - Winchester City	2:4 ✺
17.12.24	Winchester City - Basingstoke Town	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Sholing - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Winchester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
21.12.24	Totton - Sholing	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Tiverton Town - Totton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Biggleswade Town - Totton	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.12.24	Totton - Chertsey Town	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Totton - Winchester City	1:1
19.08.23	Winchester City - Totton	0:6

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