Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Dorchester Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.1	4.1
	1.59	4.1	4.4
	1.66	4.28	4.39
	1.53	4	4.5
	1.59	4.05	4.5
	1.59	4.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	4.11 ↑ (3.99)	4.38 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
57.1%

Draw
22.1%

Winchester City
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.8%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Dorchester Town - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 1.

Dorchester is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dorchester is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dorchester to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2 ✺
26.12.24	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Walton & Hersham - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTW
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Gosport Borough - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
26.12.24	Winchester City - Totton	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	Wimborne Town - Winchester City	2:4 ✺
17.12.24	Winchester City - Basingstoke Town	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.08.24	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	0:0
30.03.24	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	1:1
15.08.23	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	0:4
14.01.23	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	2:1
26.11.22	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	1:1
Club Friendly
01.08.18	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	5:1

Dorchester Town - Winchester City