Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.25	4.65
	1.49	4.45	5.29	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.76
	1.56	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.37)	4.28 ↓ (4.4)	4.8 ↓ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
59.7%

Draw
21.3%

Welling United
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Billericay Town's form might have worsened.

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Billericay Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Billericay Town - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Long E. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Majoyegbe L. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Merrifield F. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Davis T. ⚽,
85', 5 - 1, Merrifield F. ⚽,
90+4', 6 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 1.

Billericay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Welling has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Billericay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Billericay is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Billericay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
11.11.25	Billericay Town - Dartford	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Billericay Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTWL
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.25	Welling United - Cray Wanderers	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Welling United - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Welling United - Folkestone Invicta	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Dartford - Welling United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.03.22	Billericay Town - Welling United	2:2
30.10.21	Welling United - Billericay Town	1:0
17.11.20	Welling United - Billericay Town	2:2
14.03.20	Welling United - Billericay Town	2:0
13.08.19	Billericay Town - Welling United	2:1
26.01.19	Billericay Town - Welling United	2:0
14.08.18	Welling United - Billericay Town	0:3

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