Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.6
	1.67	4.7	3.45
	1.84	5.09	3.01
	1.67	4.87	3.53
	1.71	4.6	3.38
	1.67	4.7	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	4.69 ↑ (3.87)	3.57 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
54.7%

Draw
19.6%

Bognor Regis Town
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wingate & Finchley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bognor Regis (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wingate & Finchley (votes: 1 - 50%). Bognor Regis (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Restrepo C. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Keller C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 1, Higgs T. (Pen),
90+3', 3 - 1, Osei A. ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 1, Bello O. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Wingate & Finchley is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 25:45 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.04.25	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chatham Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.09.24	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
26.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2
16.03.24	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
25.02.23	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	4:2
24.09.22	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:0
29.01.22	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	2:0
25.09.21	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2

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