Match Info

Date: 1 January 2022, Saturday


	Merstham		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.7	3.1
	2.06	3.55	2.9
	2.02	3.8	3.27
	1.91	3.75	3
	2.16	3.7	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.96)	3.7 (3.7)	3.03 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merstham
45.4%

Draw
24.6%

Wingate & Finchley
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

16.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wingate & Finchley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 and 18).

Merstham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merstham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Merstham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	6:1 ✺
18.12.21	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Carshalton Athletic - Merstham	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	Merstham - Horsham	1:3 ✺
30.11.21	Merstham - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.21	Wingate & Finchley - Haringey Borough	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
04.12.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
30.11.21	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.19	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	0:4
05.01.19	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:0
15.09.18	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	2:0
14.10.17	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	3:2
12.08.17	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
08.04.17	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	0:2
08.11.16	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	3:2

Upcoming Matches