Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Wingate & Finchley		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.9	3.7	3.2
	1.96	3.98	3.3
	1.92	3.72	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	3.26 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
47.6%

Draw
24.4%

Merstham
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Merstham aligns with the current prediction.

Wingate & Finchley - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 2.

Recent matches Wingate & Finchley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merstham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wingate & Finchley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.04.22	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
26.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Bishops Stortford	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWLW
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.04.22	Merstham - Bognor Regis Town	1:3 ✺
09.04.22	Potters Bar Town - Merstham	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Merstham - Corinthian-Casuals	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	East Thurrock United - Merstham	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Merstham - Enfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.22	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
14.09.19	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	0:4
05.01.19	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:0
15.09.18	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	2:0
14.10.17	Wingate & Finchley - Merstham	3:2
12.08.17	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
08.04.17	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	0:2

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