The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wingate & Finchley 34.5%
Draw 24.8%
Ramsgate 40.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
24.3%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
23.1%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ramsgate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ramsgate than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Wingate & Finchley - Ramsgate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Hale-Brown F. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Chukwu A. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Wingate & Finchley has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ramsgate is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Wingate & Finchley has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wingate & Finchley against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Ramsgate
13
7
1
5
29:17
12
22
12
Wingate & Finchley
12
6
2
4
24:23
1
20
Last Results with these Odds
Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.7%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Ramsgate - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.