Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Winterthur		Chiasso

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.3	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.08	3.3	3.15
	2.14	3.45	3.47
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.11	3.5	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	3.35 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
45.2%

Draw
27.3%

Chiasso
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Winterthur's form might have worsened.

Chiasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winterthur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chiasso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Winterthur - Chiasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Winterthur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chiasso is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Winterthur have a series of guest games.

Winterthur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Winterthur won 19 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 48-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Winterthur won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Winterthur
Swiss Challenge League
19.03.21	Schaffhausen - Winterthur	3:3 ✺
12.03.21	Winterthur - Thun	2:3 ✺
05.03.21	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	0:1 ✺
02.03.21	Wil 1900 - Winterthur	1:1 ✺
26.02.21	Aarau - Winterthur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWTT
- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
19.03.21	Chiasso - Thun	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Lausanne Ouchy - Chiasso	3:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
10.03.21	Chiasso - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
05.03.21	Chiasso - Aarau	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
23.01.21	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:3
02.12.20	Winterthur - Chiasso	2:0
17.07.20	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:2
02.02.20	Winterthur - Chiasso	3:2
26.10.19	Winterthur - Chiasso	2:1
24.09.19	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:2
16.05.19	Winterthur - Chiasso	2:0

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