Match Info

Date: 19 March 2021, Friday


	Chiasso		Thun

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.65	3.5	1.85
	3.65	3.45	1.86
	4	3.72	1.89
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	3.8	3.76	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.56)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiasso
25%

Draw
26%

Thun
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

25.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

16.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	4.2%	87.5%

Chiasso - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: Thun will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Thun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Thun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chiasso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Chiasso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
13.03.21	Lausanne Ouchy - Chiasso	3:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
10.03.21	Chiasso - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
05.03.21	Chiasso - Aarau	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Chiasso - Wil 1900	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLW
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
12.03.21	Winterthur - Thun	2:3 ✺
06.03.21	Thun - Kriens	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Aarau - Thun	4:2 ✺
26.02.21	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	0:2 ✺
19.02.21	Schaffhausen - Thun	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
28.11.20	Thun - Chiasso	3:0
16.10.20	Chiasso - Thun	0:2
Club Friendly
11.07.18	Thun - Chiasso	3:2
15.07.17	Thun - Chiasso	5:1

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