Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	20:30	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2, TV6


	Wisła Kraków		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.5	1.65	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.65
	4.5	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.6	4.34	1.66
	4.59	4.37	1.62
	4.2	3.75	1.67
	4.95	4.18	1.68	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.21)	4.18 ↑ (3.95)	1.65 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
20.9%

Draw
22.4%

Cercle Brugge
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

23.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

22.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Kraków's form might have worsened.

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cercle Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Wisła Kraków - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broda K. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 6. Uryga A. (C) 97. Biedrzycki W. 4. Mikulec R. 8. Carbo M. 10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 22. Starzynski P. 19. Sukiennicki O. 13. Kiss T. 9. Rodado A.	1. Warleson (G) 15. Magnee G. 66. Ravych C. 18. Miangue S. 20. Nazinho 6. Agyekum L. 8. Erick 34. Somers T. (C) 30. Bruninho 11. Minda A. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
17. Alfaro J. 77. Baena Perez A. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 21. Gogol P. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 80. Olejarka D. 75. Skrobanski K. 54. Wisniewski K.	13. Brunner P. 21. Delanghe M. (G) 2. Diakite I. 7. Efekele M. 27. Engwanda A. 10. Felipe Augusto 84. Langenbick B. (G) 76. Lietaert J. 19. Olaigbe K. 99. Ouattara A. K. 5. Popovic B.
Coaches
Moskal K.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Minda A. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Somers T. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
37', 0 - 3, Ravych C. ⚽,
40', Denkey K. 🟨,
43', Rodado A. 🟨,
44', Jaroch B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Somers T. ↓, Ouattara A. K. ↑,
46', Starzynski P. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
47', 0 - 4, Denkey K. ⚽,
55', 0 - 5, Ouattara A. K. ⚽, Minda A. (A),
62', Erick ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
62', Bruninho ↓, Engwanda A. ↑,
62', Jaroch B. ↓, Wisniewski K. ↑,
62', Kiss T. ↓, Gogol P. ↑,
71', Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
71', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
71', Minda A. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
74', Agyekum L. 🟨,
78', Miangue S. ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
83', 0 - 6, Olaigbe K. ⚽,
84', 1 - 6, Rodado A. ⚽, Baena Perez A. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wisła could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cercle Brugge is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
19.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava	4:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
12.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Spartak Trnava - Wisła Kraków	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLL
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Molde	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Molde - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLL

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