The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wisła Kraków 39.8%
Draw 26.8%
Spartak Trnava 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
26.3%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
25.7%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Kraków's performance.
Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Trnava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Kraków that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Trnava will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Broda K. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 6. Uryga A. (C) 97. Biedrzycki W. 30. Kiakos G. 8. Carbo M. 19. Sukiennicki O. 22. Starzynski P. 9. Rodado A. 13. Kiss T. 99. Zwolinski L.
1. Frelih Z. (G) 52. Sabo E. 13. Ujlaky M. 26. Kosa S. 29. Mikovic M. 4. Holik L. 80. Zeljkovic A. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 7. Pich R. 11. Azango P. 57. Duris M.
Substitutes
10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 77. Baena Perez A. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 21. Gogol P. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 4. Mikulec R. 54. Wisniewski K.
16. Ahl H. 25. Bainovic F. 22. Bukovsky D. 8. Corryn M. 21. Karhan P. 14. Kratochvil M. 27. Kubista V. 17. Paur J. 31. Rusov D. (G) 20. Trello F. 72. Vantruba M. (G)
Coaches
Moskal K.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Sabo E. 🟨,
5', Kiakos G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Rodado A. (Pen),
45+1', Duris M. 🟨,
45+2', Carbo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ujlaky M. ↓, Kratochvil M. ↑,
46', Pich R. ↓, Ahl H. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Starzynski P. ⚽, Rodado A. (A),
61', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Gogol P. ↑,
61', Kiss T. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
67', Prochazka R. ↓, Kubista V. ↑,
70', Jaroch B. 🟨,
74', Kiakos G. ↓, Mikulec R. ↑,
90+1', Zwolinski L. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
90+1', Mikovic M. ↓, Bainovic F. ↑,
90+5', Kubista V. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
98', 3 - 0, Uryga A. ⚽,
99', 🟨,
99', Sabo E. ↓, Paur J. ↑,
106', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Corryn M. ↑,
106', Starzynski P. ↓, Kutwa M. ↑,
107', 3 - 1, Duris M. ⚽, Azango P. (A),
120', Frelih Z. 🟨,
Penalties (12 - 11)
1, Uryga A. (Pen),
1, Duris M. (Pen),
2, Biedrzycki W. (Pen),
2, Paur J. (Pen),
3, Jaroch B. (Pen),
3, Kratochvil M. (Pen),
4, Rodado A. (Pen),
4, Kosa S. (Pen),
5, Carbo M. (Pen),
5, Bainovic F. (Pen),
6, Mikulec R. (Pen),
6, Kubista V. (Pen),
7, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. (Pen),
7, Corryn M. (Pen),
8, Gogol P. (Pen),
8, Ahl H. (Pen),
9, Baena Perez A. (Pen),
9, Holik L. (Pen),
10, Kutwa M. (Pen),
10, Azango P. (Pen),
11, Broda K. (Pen),
11, Frelih Z. (Pen),
12, Uryga A. (Pen),
12, Duris M. (Pen),
13, Biedrzycki W. (Pen),
13, Kratochvil M. (Pen),
14, Jaroch B. (Pen),
14, Bainovic F. (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.
Wisła is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Trnava is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Trnava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Poland
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Broda K. (G) 
Kiakos G. 
Carbo M. 
Kiss T. 
Frelih Z. (G) 
Sabo E. 
Holik L. 
Azango P. 
Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 
Chichkan A. (G) 
Ahl H. 
Bainovic F. 
Corryn M. 
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