Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Wisła Płock II		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.8	3.55	3.65
	1.69	3.85	3.8
	1.82	3.67	3.67	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.7
	1.78	3.91	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.06)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
50.4%

Draw
25%

Olimpia Elbląg
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

23.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Płock II's performance.

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Elbląg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wisła Płock II - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Lapinski S. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Kozera D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Wisła Płock II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elbląg has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wisła Płock II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wisła Płock II could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wisła Płock II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	4	18
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Wisła Płock II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Widzew Łódź II	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Wasilków - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Widzew Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Troszyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	2:1

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