Match Info

Date: 8 August 2021, Sunday


	Wisła Kraków		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.45	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	2.4	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.74	3.42	2.7
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.52	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)	2.58 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
35.5%

Draw
28.1%

Raków Częstochowa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

20.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	25.7%	20%

Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Raków will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wisła won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Wisła Kraków - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
26.07.21	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Lubin	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Wisła Kraków - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
03.07.21	Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWTW
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Raków Częstochowa - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Raków Częstochowa - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.21	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Sūduva Marijampolė - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.04.21	Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa	1:2
08.11.20	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków	0:0
20.06.20	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków	3:1
10.06.20	Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa	3:2
04.11.19	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków	1:0
Club Friendly
27.06.18	Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa	3:1
28.06.17	Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa	1:2

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