Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion MOSiR Puławy (Pulawy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Puławy		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.98
	3.25	3.5	1.98	Watch
	3.25	3.63	1.99
	3.35	3.64	2.03	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.31	3.4	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.85)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Puławy
28.3%

Draw
25.8%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.4%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Puławy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zagłębie Sosnowiec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wisła Puławy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szpaderski J. (G) 3. Galazka A. 9. Guzdek B. 6. Kabaj L. 11. Kargulewicz K. (C) 8. Kumoch K. 20. Piatek K. 17. Sledzicki R. 2. Walis P. 10. Wiktoruk B. 21. Zylla M.	87. Siuta K. (G) 9. Bilinski K. 27. Borun B. 3. Janiszewski G. 4. Kurtovic R. 10. Mularczyk P. 6. Niewulis A. (C) 20. Pawlusinski M. 11. Snopczynski B. 17. Valencia J. 7. Zalewski S.
Substitutes
. Cholewa R. 7. Fyk O. 15. Kozdron O. 22. Luczuk F. 12. Murat K. (G) 4. Nassor M. 19. Szymanek K.	. Acosta M. 23. Checinski B. . Kabala M. (G) 99. Kulawiak A. . Mielczarek P. 88. Paszczela B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 80. Uchnast L. 77. Zawojski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Walis P. ⚽,
31', Walis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Pawlusinski M. 🟨,
61', Snopczynski B. ↓, Kulawiak A. ↑,
61', Pawlusinski M. ↓, Zawojski B. ↑,
64', Borun B. 🟨,
69', Borun B. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
81', Kabaj L. 🟨,
82', Mularczyk P. ↓, Uchnast L. ↑,
82', Zalewski S. ↓, Mielczarek P. ↑,
87', Zylla M. ↓, Szymanek K. ↑,
89', Kulawiak A. 🟨,
90', Zawojski B. 🟨,
90+4', Piatek K. ↓, Cholewa R. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
13.10.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Wisła Puławy	4:0 ✺
04.10.24	Wisła Puławy - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Wisła Puławy - Polonia Bytom	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Wisła Puławy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
12.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
05.10.24	Swit Skolwin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.04.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Puławy	3:1
01.10.16	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
Polish Cup
25.07.15	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:3 penalties
Polish Division 2
16.05.15	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
17.10.14	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Puławy	1:1

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