Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.33	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.31	3.6	2.7
	2.37	3.59	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.6
	2.29	3.36	2.66	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.12)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.69 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
39.8%

Draw
26.4%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 21. Agbor E. 27. Borun B. 3. Janiszewski G. 10. Mularczyk P. 6. Niewulis A. (C) 20. Pawlusinski M. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 17. Valencia J. 7. Zalewski S.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
. Acosta M. 9. Bilinski K. 23. Checinski B. . Kabala M. (G) 4. Kurtovic R. 8. Marciniec P. 88. Paszczela B. 80. Uchnast L. 77. Zawojski B.	19. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. 80. Glacel M. (G) . Gulczynski G. 17. Niewiadomski J. 9. Odolak K. 6. Skowronski G. . Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Valencia J. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Jaron D. ⚽,
26', Sydorenko D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Agbor E. (Pen),
32', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
39', Zalewski S. 🟨,
41', Agbor E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
46', Mularczyk P. ↓, Uchnast L. ↑,
52', Agbor E. 🟨,
55', Lis J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Lis J. ⚽,
58', Siuta K. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
63', Jaron D. 🟨,
64', Korczakowski I. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
65', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
66', Snopczynski B. ↓, Bilinski K. ↑,
66', Pawlusinski M. ↓, Marciniec P. ↑,
66', Zalewski S. ↓, Paszczela B. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Jaron D. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Janiszewski G. ⚽,
79', Niski N. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
79', Jaron D. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
80', Valencia J. ↓, Zawojski B. ↑,
81', Marciniec P. 🟨,
82', 2 - 4, Lis J. ⚽,
84', Janiszewski G. 🟨,
86', 2 - 5, Niewiadomski J. ⚽,
87', Dias M. ↓, Gulczynski G. ↑,
89', 2 - 6, Dziegielewski D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
12.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
05.10.24	Swit Skolwin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
06.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWWT

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