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Current Win Probability
Jagiellonia Białystok 58%
Draw 24.3%
Wisła Płock 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
27.4%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
23.6%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
0%
7.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 70. Pelmard A. 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 11. Imaz J. 19. Nahuel M. 14. Bazdar S.
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. (C) 13. Lecoeuche Q. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 88. Savvidis K. 30. Nowak W. 19. Gallapeni D. 99. Juric D. 77. Hamulic S.
Substitutes
66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 4. Kobayashi Y. 85. Kozlowski E. 21. Lozano S. 23. Montoia G. 10. Pululu A. 17. Sylla Y. 77. Szmyt K. 80. Zalewski Z.
37. Bokhno M. 27. Borowski B. 26. Burek J. (G) 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 8. Pacheco D. 6. Pomorski K. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.
Misiura M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Gallapeni D. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Bazdar S. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Juric D. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Juric D. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pelmard A. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
65', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
65', Nahuel M. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
65', Bazdar S. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
70', Gallapeni D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
76', Hamulic S. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
78', Pozo A. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
87', Savvidis K. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
90+5', Pacheco D. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
Recent performances by Jagiellonia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wisła Płock is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Jozwiak K.
(Injury)
Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
Mijuskovic N.
(Yellow Cards)
Salvador I.
(Inactive)
Sekulski L.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Piekutowski M.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
Argentina
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Poland
Spain
Usa
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Abramowicz S. (G) 
Vital B. 
Pelmard A. 
Pozo A. 
Bazdar S. 
Haglind-Sangre M. 
Lecoeuche Q. 
Rogelj Z. 
Savvidis K. 
Gallapeni D. 
Juric D. 
Kobayashi Y. 
Pululu A. 
Sylla Y. 
Bokhno M. 
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