Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.72
	2.2	3.61	2.67
	2.00	3.71	3.08	Watch
	2.17	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	2.79 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
42.3%

Draw
25.3%

Wisła Płock II
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 4 - 0, Kolasa K. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wisła Płock II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Widzew Łódź II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLTW
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Legia II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.03.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	1:0
25.08.24	Wisła Płock II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1

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