Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 28

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kingfield Stadium (Woking)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Woking		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	6.5
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.55	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.47	4.15	6.2
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)	4.14 ↑ (3.78)	6.14 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
62.5%

Draw
22.4%

Ebbsfleet United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Woking - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 16. Akinola O. 6. Andrews J. 7. Beautyman H. 15. Chicksen A. 12. Effiong I. 8. Gorman D. (C) 19. Mazionis J. 10. Walker L. 17. Ward M. 21. Wynter B.	1. Cousins M. (G) 37. Aoraha A. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 11. Moncur G. 2. O'Neil L. 33. Stewart A. 39. Thomas K.
Substitutes
23. Anderson J. . Hinds T. 3. Jones J. 11. Lewis D. 9. O'Brien A. 30. Vincent F. 28. Webber O. (G)	9. Bingham R. 15. Carr R. 32. Goddard F. (G) . Lankshear A. 36. Manktelow M. 21. Odokonyero N. 12. Samuel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Edser T. 🟨,
25', Dallison T. 🟨,
31', Stewart A. 🟨,
35', Mazionis J. 🟨,
41', Walker L. 🟨,
43', Ward M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Beautyman H. (Pen),
69', Thomas K. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
70', Wynter B. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Moncur G. ⚽, Cosgrave A. (A),
77', Andrews J. ↓, O'Brien A. ↑,
78', Walker L. ↓, Vincent F. ↑,
90+4', Aoraha A. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
90+8', Domi F. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Woking won 1.

Woking is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ebbsfleet is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Woking is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Woking to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Woking won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League Cup
14.01.25	Woking - Derby County U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
11.01.25	Yeovil Town - Woking	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.01.25	Woking - Radcliffe	4:0 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	Woking - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Aldershot Town - Woking	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWT
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
14.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Boston United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
07.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - West Ham United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Southend United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Woking	0:3
20.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Woking	1:0
19.09.23	Woking - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
28.01.20	Ebbsfleet United - Woking	2:1
English FA Cup
22.10.19	Woking - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
19.10.19	Ebbsfleet United - Woking	1:1
English National League
14.09.19	Woking - Ebbsfleet United	2:2

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