Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 27

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.56)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
20.5%

Draw
26.3%

Yeovil Town
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yeovil Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Ebbsfleet United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Yeovil Town will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 37. Aoraha A. 22. Chapman B. 5. Cordner T. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 17. Edser T. 29. Kane T. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 39. Thomas K.	1. Wright O. (G) 33. Bernard D. 24. Cooper C. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 9. Jarvis A. 14. McGavin B. 35. McGuckin C. 17. McGurk S. 37. Shaw K. 6. Wannell J. (C) 4. Williams M.
Substitutes
9. Bingham R. 38. Davies J. 32. Goddard F. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 21. Odokonyero N. 12. Samuel D. 33. Stewart A.	22. Gould M. (G) 27. Greenslade H. 11. Maddox J. 10. Nouble F. 19. Sims J. 3. Whittle A. 8. Worthington M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Kane T. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, McGurk S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
60', Jarvis A. ↓, Sims J. ↑,
66', Olagunju M. 🟥,
74', Cordner T. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
75', Moncur G. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
77', McGurk S. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
77', Shaw K. ↓, Maddox J. ↑,
81', Edser T. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
87', Thomas K. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
87', McGavin B. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
88', Aoraha A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ebbsfleet has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Yeovil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ebbsfleet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
11.01.25	Boston United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
07.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - West Ham United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Southend United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ebbsfleet United - Gateshead	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- Yeovil Town
English National League
11.01.25	Yeovil Town - Woking	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Yeovil Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.08.24	Yeovil Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:2
13.08.19	Ebbsfleet United - Yeovil Town	1:3

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