Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	3.9
	1.73	3.6	4.1
	1.76	3.94	3.79
	1.77	3.92	4.08
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.75	3.62	3.99
	1.73	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
52.3%

Draw
24.8%

Basford United
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Warrington Rylands - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hardcastle B. (Pen),
29', 2 - 0, Hopper H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 3 - 0, Massanka N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Basford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Basford have a series of home games.

In this match Warrington Rylands is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Warrington Rylands won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Warrington Rylands won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Warrington Rylands - Ossett United	4:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.24	Matlock Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL
- Basford United
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Basford United - Anstey Nomads	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Matlock Town - Basford United	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Basford United - Hanley Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Basford United - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Basford United - Warrington Rylands	2:2
25.11.23	Warrington Rylands - Basford United	1:1

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