Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Workington		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.33	1.6
	4.4	4.1	1.59
	4.21	4.29	1.66
	4.41	4.3	1.65
	4	4.5	1.53
	4.46	3.88	1.62
	4.4	4.1	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.7)	4.21 ↑ (3.84)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
21.5%

Draw
21.6%

Worksop Town
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

23.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

21.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worksop Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Workington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worksop Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Workington - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Rigg S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Burrow J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Worksop have a series of home games.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Workington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Workington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Workington - Bamber Bridge	2:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.10.24	Stockton Town - Workington	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hyde United - Workington	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Workington - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Workington - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- Worksop Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.24	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Worksop Town - Hebburn Town	2:4 ✺
12.10.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
08.10.24	Worksop Town - Prescot Cables	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
06.04.24	Worksop Town - Workington	2:1
12.12.23	Workington - Worksop Town	3:3

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