Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	1.96	3.46	3.95	Watch
	1.86	3.72	4.33
	5.76	3.73	1.61	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.92	3.5	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.83)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	3.65 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Queens Park Rangers
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queens Park Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). QPR will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 6. Coady C. 2. Doyle C. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 27. O'Brien L. 7. McClean J. (C) 9. Hardie R. 19. Moore K.	1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. (C) 4. Morrison L. 27. Mbengue A. S. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 40. Varane J. 24. Madsen N. 20. Vale H. 16. Burrell R. 22. Kone R. 14. Saito K.
Substitutes
45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 3. Brunt L. 25. Burton C. (G) 5. Hyam D. 12. Kabore I. 18. Sheaf B. 28. Smith S.	5. Cook S. 7. Dembele K. 28. Esquerdinha 8. Field S. 12. Frey M. 15. Hayden I. 26. Kolli R. 21. Morgan K. 32. Salamon M. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Coady C. (Own goal),
44', 0 - 2, Kone R. ⚽, Madsen N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
61', Hardie R. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
61', James M. ↓, Sheaf B. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Moore K. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
72', Saito K. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
72', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Burrell R. ⚽, Dunne J. (A),
77', Burrell R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
83', Dobson G. 🟨,
84', Coady C. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
84', Vale H. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
84', Madsen N. ↓, Field S. ↑,

Preview

Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

QPR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Wrexham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury) Windass J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Frey M. (Calf Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Poku K. (Hamstring Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Wrexham - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Wrexham - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Wrexham - Hull City	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTLW
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
30.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Coventry City - Queens Park Rangers	7:1 ✺
16.08.25	Watford - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	3:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

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