Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Queens Park Rangers		Burnley

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.93
	4.12	3.54	1.9
	4.3	3.55	1.92
	4.07	3.37	1.97	Watch
	4	3.3	1.91
	4.11	3.5	1.91	Watch
	4.12	3.54	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.53)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
23.1%

Draw
27.3%

Burnley
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

27.2%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	8.7%	73.9%

Queens Park Rangers - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Burnley (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Burnley (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burnley will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Burnley (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. (C) 16. Morrison L. 22. Paal K. 20. Ashby H. 17. Edwards R. 4. Colback J. 40. Varane J. 24. Madsen N. 7. Dembele K. 26. Kolli R.	1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Brownhill J. (C) 24. Cullen J. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
25. Andersen L. 27. Bennie D. 10. Chair I. 15. Fox M. 12. Frey M. 21. Morgan K. 36. Sutton E. 13. Walsh J. (G) 47. Yang Min-Hyuk	35. Barnes A. 22. Edwards M. 32. Hladky V. (G) 29. Laurent J. 21. Ramsey A. 15. Redmond N. 7. Sarmiento J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', Mejbri H. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Cullen J. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
28', 0 - 3, Flemming Z. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
45+1', Cullen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Madsen N. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
46', Dembele K. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
51', Edwards R. 🟨,
59', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
59', Kolli R. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
62', 0 - 4, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Flemming Z. (A),
64', Colback J. 🟨,
75', Anthony J. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
80', Edwards R. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
83', Ashby H. 🟨,
84', Koleosho L. ↓, Redmond N. ↑,
84', Brownhill J. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
84', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
86', Ashby H. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
89', Frey M. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 5, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Redmond N. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Burnley is Qualified for Premier League

Last 5 head-to-head matches QPR won 1.

Recent matches QPR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in QPR: Celar Z. (Knock) Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Cook S. (Injury) Vale H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Hip Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Field S. (Ankle Injury) Saito K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Injury) Mejbri H. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches QPR won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
21.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTWT
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
21.04.25	Burnley - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Watford - Burnley	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Burnley - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Derby County - Burnley	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Coventry City - Burnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
22.04.23	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
11.12.22	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:3
02.05.16	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
12.12.15	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:0
English Premier League
10.01.15	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
06.12.14	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	2:0

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