Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Millwall		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	3.30	Watch
	2.25	3.40	3.20
	2.17	3.35	3.20	Watch
	2.33	3.39	3.28
	2.32	3.41	3.05	Watch
	2.30	3.25	3.25
	2.26	3.24	3.17	Watch
	2.28	3.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)	3.32 ↓ (3.57)	3.2 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
41.8%

Draw
28.6%

Wrexham
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	11.4%	6.8%

Millwall - Wrexham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wrexham (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Wrexham (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Millwall will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% – 93.22%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Wrexham (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 12. Baggott E. 24. De Norre C. 17. Sykes M. 16. Kelly D. 14. Metcalfe J. 3. Sturge Z. 19. Coburn J. 13. Dykes L.	22. Patterson A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 37. James M. 8. Whiteman B. 3. Ekomie J. 10. Windass J. 27. O'Brien L. 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
23. Batth D. 43. Coleman J. (G) 29. Lovelace Z. 44. Massey A. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 10. Neghli C. 2. Osei-Tutu J. 55. Parkes T. 51. Vieira S. T.	11. Cadamarteri B. 30. Imray D. 47. Longman R. 17. O'Hare C. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G) 6. Worrall J.
Coaches
Neil A.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', De Norre C. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Sturge Z. (Own goal),
36', Whiteman B. 🟨,
43', De Norre C. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Moore K. ⚽, Windass J. (A),
56', Dykes L. 🟨,
63', Coburn J. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
64', Baggott E. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
67', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
67', Kabore I. ↓, Imray D. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Ekomie J. ⚽, Imray D. (A),
73', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
74', Metcalfe J. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
74', Kelly D. ↓, Massey A. ↑,
76', Ekomie J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,

Preview

Millwall is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wrexham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.

Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Leonard R. (Hamstring Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Calf Injury) Servais M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Sheaf B. (Inactive) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Crama T. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Millwall will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Millwall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 2% Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
29.08.26	Southampton - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Cambridge United - Millwall	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Millwall - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
28.08.26	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Wrexham - Watford	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Cardiff City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
07.08.26	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
02.08.26	Wrexham - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.02.26	Wrexham - Millwall	0:2
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2

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