Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 36

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
	1.87	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.42	4.51
	1.88	3.37	4.21	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.89	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.74)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
49.9%

Draw
27.8%

Rotherham United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Wrexham - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. (C) 6. O'Connor T. 47. Longman R. 20. Rathbone O. 37. James M. 38. Lee E. 23. Revan S. 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.	20. Phillips D. (G) 17. McWilliams S. 22. Odoffin H. 24. Humphreys C. 6. James R. 15. Sibley L. 25. Mpanzu P. 7. Powell J. 12. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C) 8. Nombe S.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 12. Evans G. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 7. McClean J. 24. Scarr D.	1. Dawson C. (G) 11. Green A. 35. Hatton B. 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 28. Kayode J. 2. Rafferty J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Smith S. ⚽,
65', Lee E. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
66', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Kayode J. ↑,
66', Sibley L. ↓, Green A. ↑,
71', Rathbone O. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
81', Wilks M. 🟨,
87', Wilks M. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
87', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
88', Powell J. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Burton C. (Thigh Injury) Cannon A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Leg Injury) MacDonald A. (Inactive) Raggett S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Dobson G. (Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z. (Injury) Kelly L. (Inactive) Rafferty J. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
04.03.25	Huddersfield Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.02.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
23.02.25	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWL
- Rotherham United
English League One
04.03.25	Rotherham United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Rotherham United	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Rotherham United - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Reading - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Blackpool - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.10.24	Rotherham United - Wrexham	0:1

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