Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 34

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.24	3.45	3.29
	2.18	3.37	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.21	3.54	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↓ (3.59)	3.23 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
42.8%

Draw
27.9%

Bolton Wanderers
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. (C) 6. O'Connor T. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 23. Revan S. 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.	20. Southwood L. (G) 15. Forrester W. 6. Johnston G. 3. Murphy A. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 16. Morley A. 8. Sheehan J. (C) 23. Schon S. 45. McAtee J. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 19. Collins A.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 7. McClean J. 24. Scarr D.	21. Baxter N. (G) 17. Lolos K. 28. Matete J. 7. Mendes C. 31. Randall J. 4. Thomason G. 18. Toal E.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', James M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Dobson G. 🟨,
62', Schon S. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
62', Murphy A. ↓, Toal E. ↑,
68', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
72', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
73', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
74', McAtee J. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
78', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
85', Rathbone O. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
87', Sheehan J. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
90+3', Forrester W. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Burton C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bolton: Dempsey K. (Injury) Santos R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Cannon A. (Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Injury) Jones G. (Inactive) Mendes C. (Injury) Toal E. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.76%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English EFL Trophy
26.02.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
23.02.25	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Northampton Town - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.02.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
22.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.02.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League One
08.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
01.02.25	Reading - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
11.02.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
English League One
18.08.24	Bolton Wanderers - Wrexham	0:0

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