Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 33

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mansfield Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.26	3.43	2.27
	3.18	3.37	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.25
	3.23	3.41	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
29.4%

Draw
27.8%

Wrexham
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	3.4%	79.3%

Mansfield Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Wrexham will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 64.6% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flinders S. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 12. MacDonald C. 17. Baccus K. 25. Reed L. 10. Maris G. 3. McLaughlin S. 11. Evans W. 30. Vickers C.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 47. Longman R. 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. (C) 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 20. Rathbone O. 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
44. Boateng H. 24. Craig M. 8. Lewis A. 23. Oshilaja A. 1. Pym C. (G) 29. Rhodes J. 21. Waine B.	29. Barnett R. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 34. James A. 11. Marriott J. 10. Mullin P. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Clough N.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, MacDonald C. (Own goal),
16', 1 - 1, MacDonald C. ⚽, Baccus K. (A),
45', Cannon A. ↓, James M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', MacDonald C. ↓, Oshilaja A. ↑,
56', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Cleworth M. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
63', Baccus K. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
63', Kilgour A. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
68', Evans W. 🟨,
74', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
74', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
74', Maris G. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
79', Flint A. 🟨,
84', McLaughlin S. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
87', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
90', Lewis A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1.

Mansfield has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wrexham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wrexham will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Mansfield: Craig M. (Injury) Gregory L. (Injury) Oates R. (Injury) Oshilaja A. (Injury) Quinn B. (Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Burton C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Mansfield: Cargill B. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Lee E. (Inactive) Mullin P. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
18.02.25	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Blackpool - Mansfield Town	3:3 ✺
11.02.25	Leyton Orient - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.25	Mansfield Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
18.02.25	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Northampton Town - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.02.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Port Vale - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Crawley Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.11.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	1:0
English League Two
29.03.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:0
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2
English League Two
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0
English National League
20.04.13	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:0
04.04.13	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:1
20.04.12	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	N/A

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