Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Wuhan Three Towns		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.8	3.9
	1.7	3.95	4.1	Watch
	1.69	4.25	4.6
	1.56	4.34	5.05	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.69	4.12	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	4.07 (4.07)	4.44 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
55.9%

Draw
23%

Changchun Yatai
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

20.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Wuhan Three Towns (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Guo Jiayu (G) 25. Deng Hanwen 5. Park Ji-Su 2. He Guan 29. Zheng Haoqian 7. Gustavo Sauer 6. Long Wei 10. Darlan 15. Chen Zhechao 11. Palacios M. 9. Tudorie A.	23. Wu Yake (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 17. He Yiran 40. Asqer A. 21. Piao Taoyu 37. Zhao Yingjie 27. Salazar J. 10. Omoijuanfo O.
Substitutes
23. Hang Ren 12. Liao Chengjian 14. Shao Puliang (G) 22. Shen Zigui 28. Wang Denny 8. Wang Jinxian 61. Wang Kang 1. Wei Minzhe (G) 56. Zhang Zhenyang 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao 16. Zou Z.	25. Cyprien W. 18. JIng Boxi 36. Liu Guobao 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 80. Wu Zhicheng 20. Xuan Z. 24. Yan Zhiyu 6. Zhang Huachen 42. Zou Dehai (G)
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
64', Asqer A. ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
76', Palacios M. ↓, Shen Zigui ↑,
78', Li Shenyuan ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
78', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
81', He Guan ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
81', Chen Zhechao ↓, Wang Denny ↑,
86', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
86', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
87', Salazar J. 🟨,
90+4', Cyprien W. 🟨,
90+6', Xuan Z. 🟨,
90+11', Rosic L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.

Recent performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.

In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
27.07.25	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTLW
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
27.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1
10.08.24	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0
20.04.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0
04.11.23	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	3:4
08.07.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	2:1
30.11.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	2:3
20.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2

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