Match Info

Super League - Round 14

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Beijing Guoan		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	13	Watch
	1.17	7	12
	1.19	6.7	11	Watch
	1.2	7.26	12.77
	1.18	6.81	11.22	Watch
	1.18	6.5	13
	1.19	6.93	11.4	Watch
	1.18	6.9	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.17)	6.89 ↓ (7.28)	11.92 ↓ (12.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
78.6%

Draw
13.5%

Changchun Yatai
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.7%

12.8%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Changchun Yatai (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beijing Guoan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 4 - 80%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 16. Feng Boxuan 15. Spajic U. 5. Ngadeu M. 2. Wu Shaocong 10. Zhang Xizhe 23. Dawhan 8. Guga 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. 37. Cao Yongjing	23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 5. Li Shenyuan 8. Yao Xuchen 19. Xu Yue 21. Piao Taoyu 24. Yan Zhiyu 9. Beric R. 29. Tan Long
Substitutes
25. Cheng Arturo (G) 6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 30. Fan Shuangjie 4. Li Lei 28. Li Ruiyue 19. Muhmet N. 7. Serginho 27. Wang Gang 43. Wang Y. 20. Wang Ziming 21. Zhang Yuan	1. An Z. (G) 17. He Yiran 10. Omoijuanfo O. 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 22. Wang Yu 20. Xuan Z. 15. Xu Haofeng 6. Zhang Huachen 37. Zhao Yingjie 7. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Setien Q.	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Zhang Xizhe ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
37', Sunzu S. 🟨,
39', Xu Yue 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Xu Yue ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
46', Yan Zhiyu ↓, Xu Haofeng ↑,
46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Omoijuanfo O. ↑,
66', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Serginho ↑,
66', Cao Yongjing ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
66', Feng Boxuan ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
70', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
77', Li Shenyuan ↓, He Yiran ↑,
82', Beric R. ↓, Zhou Junchen ↑,
83', Lin Liangming ↓, Li Lei ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Tan Long ⚽,
89', Wu Shaocong ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
90+1', Wang Yu 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3.

Beijing Guoan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Changchun Yatai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Beijing Guoan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive)

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 28:10. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWW
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Zhejiang Professional - Changchun Yatai	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
28.09.24	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	8:1
17.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	3:2
22.09.23	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	1:1
02.06.23	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	4:3
15.12.22	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	3:0
24.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	0:1
12.08.21	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	2:1

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