Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Yatai		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	12	5.75	1.22	Watch
	7.25	5.25	1.32
				Watch
	11.37	6.38	1.24
				Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.35
	8.6	5.54	1.33	Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.04 ↑ (7.5)	5.42 ↑ (5)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
10.4%

Draw
17.4%

Shanghai Shenhua
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

18.6%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

17.7%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shanghai Shenhua will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 17. He Yiran 22. Wang Yu 37. Zhao Yingjie 15. Xu Haofeng 20. Xuan Z. 29. Tan Long (C) 10. Omoijuanfo O.	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 23. Yennaris N. 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 34. Liu Chengyu 10. Teixeira J. 9. Andre Luis
Substitutes
1. An Z. (G) 18. JIng Boxi 5. Li Shenyuan 21. Piao Taoyu 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 16. Tudi Dilyimit 24. Yan Zhiyu 8. Yao Xuchen 6. Zhang Huachen 42. Zou Dehai (G)	6. Amadou I. 30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 45. Han Jiawen 46. He B. 3. Jin Shunkai 37. Petrov M. 33. Wang Haijian 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)
Coaches
Soares R.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Zhu Chenjie ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
44', 0 - 2, Teixeira J. ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
45+1', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
45+3', Rosic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wang Yu ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Zhao Yingjie (A),
57', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
64', Andre Luis 🟨,
64', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
70', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
75', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
75', Teixeira J. ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
82', He Yiran ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
88', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
90+1', Xue Qinghao 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 0.

Changchun Yatai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shanghai Shenhua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Dai Wai-Tsun (Knee Injury) Saulo Mineiro (Inactive) Wang Shilong (Inactive) Xie Pengfei (Inactive) Yu Hanchao (Inactive)

There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Zhou Junchen (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
25.06.25	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
25.06.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.25	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	2:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
14.06.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Wuxi Wugou - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
22.02.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	2:1
13.07.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	3:2
05.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2
22.07.23	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1
26.04.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	1:0
03.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0
05.08.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	0:0

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