Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Referee: Du J. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	Guangdong Sports Channel, Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	GolStadium


	Wuhan Three Towns		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4	4.33
	1.65	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.66	4.15	4.55
	1.72	3.60	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.2
	1.7	4.07	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)	3.94 ↓ (4.02)	4.53 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
55.7%

Draw
23.7%

Meizhou Hakka
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

20.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Meizhou Hakka (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 50%). Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Guo Jiayu (G) 25. Deng Hanwen 2. He Guan 5. Park Ji-Su 15. Chen Zhechao 30. Zhong Jinbao 6. Long Wei 10. Darlan 11. Palacios M. 7. Gustavo Sauer 9. Tudorie A.	41. Guo Quanbo (G) 20. Wang Jia'nan 6. Liao Junjian 11. Morris D. 31. Rao Weihui 4. Jocic B. 28. Zhong Haoran 26. Liu Yun 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 22. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
23. Hang Ren 12. Liao Chengjian 18. Liu Yiming 14. Shao Puliang (G) 22. Shen Zigui 28. Wang Denny 8. Wang Jinxian 1. Wei Minzhe (G) 56. Zhang Zhenyang 29. Zheng Haoqian 13. Zheng Kaimu 16. Zou Z.	15. Chen Xuhuang 27. Deng Yubiao 14. Ji Shengpan 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 3. Wei Minghe 21. Wei Xiangxin 33. Wen Z. 16. Yang Chaosheng 23. Yang Ruiqi 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang	Cao Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Omarsson E. ⚽, Ngom Mbekeli J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhong Jinbao ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
46', Liu Yun ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Gustavo Sauer ⚽,
59', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
64', Darlan ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽, Yang Yihu (A),
72', Palacios M. ↓, Shen Zigui ↑,
78', Chen Zhechao ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
78', He Guan ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
80', Yang Yihu 🟨,
84', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
84', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
88', Rodrigo Henrique ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
90+11', Chen Xuhuang 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.

Wuhan Three Towns is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Meizhou Hakka is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wuhan Three Towns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam (Injury)

There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Yang Ruiqi (Injury) Yang Yihu (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
02.08.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port	2:4 ✺
27.07.25	Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
06.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1
27.10.24	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0
25.05.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
23.07.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	2:1
25.04.23	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2
21.11.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	3:0
22.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2

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