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Current Win Probability
Meizhou Hakka 37%
Draw 25.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
24.2%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
23.4%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
9.1%
81.8%
Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 59% – 100%.
41. Guo Quanbo (C) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 11. Morris D. 20. Wang Jia'nan 15. Chen Xuhuang 4. Jocic B. 26. Liu Yun 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 16. Yang Chaosheng
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 37. Ros J. 6. Wang Xianjun 31. Sun Ming-Him 8. Xadas (C) 10. Salvador C. 30. Wang Qiuming 7. Ademi A. 11. Xie Weijun 9. Quiles A.
Substitutes
9. Cheukoua M. 14. Ji Shengpan 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 21. Wei Xiangxin 23. Yang Ruiqi 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao 34. Zhang J. 28. Zhong Haoran
36. Guo Hao 14. Huang Jiahui 19. Liu J. 13. Li Yongjia 1. Li Yuefeng (G) 23. Qian Yumiao 5. Ruan Yang 32. Su Yuanjie 3. Wang Zhenghao 16. Yang Zihao 26. Zhang Haoran (G) 38. Zhang Wei
Coaches
Ristic M.
Yu Genwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ademi A. ⚽, Salvador C. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Xadas ⚽, Ademi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wang Xianjun ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑,
46', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Zhong Haoran ↑,
46', Liu Yun ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
65', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
65', Ba Dun ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑,
66', Zhong Haoran 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. ⚽, Liao Junjian (A),
77', Xadas ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
80', Jocic B. ↓, Yi Xianlong ↑,
84', Salvador C. 🟨,
84', Salvador C. ↓, Liu J. ↑,
89', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
We predict that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
China
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Guo Quanbo (C) 
Yue Tze-Nam 
Morris D. 
Jocic B. 
Rodrigo Henrique 
Ngom Mbekeli J. 
Ros J. 
Xadas (C) 
Ademi A. 
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