Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Meizhou Hakka		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.57	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.46
				Watch
	5.32	4.5	1.59
				Watch
	5.5	4.75	1.44
	5.12	4.85	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (5.35)	4.62 ↑ (4.45)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
17.9%

Draw
20.3%

Beijing Guoan
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

21.2%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.5%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Meizhou Hakka aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Meizhou Hakka (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 11. Morris D. 20. Wang Jia'nan 28. Zhong Haoran 21. Wei Xiangxin 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 10. Rodrigo Henrique 26. Liu Yun 9. Cheukoua M.	34. Hou Sen (C) 15. Spajic U. 5. Ngadeu M. 2. Wu Shaocong 19. Muhmet N. 37. Cao Yongjing 7. Serginho 30. Fan Shuangjie 8. Guga 29. Abreu F. 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
15. Chen Xuhuang 14. Ji Shengpan 1. Mai Gaoling (G) 31. Rao Weihui 5. Tian Ziyi 19. Wen Da 16. Yang Chaosheng 23. Yang Ruiqi 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao 34. Zhang J.	33. Abbas Nureli (G) 6. Chi Zhongguo 23. Dawhan 18. Fang Hao 16. Feng Boxuan 4. Li Lei 28. Li Ruiyue 44. Li S. 27. Wang Gang 20. Wang Ziming 10. Zhang Xizhe 21. Zhang Yuan
Coaches
Ristic M.	Setien Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Guga (A),
45', 0 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽, Spajic U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Serginho ↓, Dawhan ↑,
46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
46', Cheukoua M. ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
50', Fan Shuangjie 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Fang Hao ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
59', Zhong Haoran ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
59', Guga ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
59', Cao Yongjing ↓, Li Lei ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
72', Liu Yun ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
73', Wu Shaocong ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
85', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
85', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
86', Spajic U. 🟨,
90+5', Muhmet N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.

Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Meizhou Hakka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Jocic B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive)

We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
13.06.25	Dalian Young Boy - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.05.25	Yunnan Yukun - Meizhou Hakka	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:4 ✺
06.05.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.25	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.09.24	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	1:3
11.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	3:2
12.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	3:1
15.04.23	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	1:1
07.07.22	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0
17.06.22	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	2:2

Upcoming Matches