Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Wuxi Wugou		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.9	1.43
	5.6	3.45	1.58
	7.25	3.93	1.49
	7	3.7	1.44
	6.95	4.05	1.46
	6.6	3.9	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (4.7)	3.82 ↑ (3.44)	1.48 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
13.9%

Draw
24%

Dongguan Guanlian
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

27%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuxi Wugou's form might have worsened.

Dongguan Guanlian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dongguan Guanlian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dongguan Guanlian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wuxi Wugou will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rong Shang (G) 25. Yang Wenji 15. Li Boxi 10. Tong Le 3. Li Yi 33. Guo Song 29. Jiang Zhixin 26. Pi Ziyang 8. Sun Enming 37. Gordic M. 35. Ye Daochi	29. Fan Jinming (G) 32. Ma Junliang 14. Yao Xilong 6. Feng Xiaoting 28. Zhang Xingbo 22. Zhao Mingjian 23. Loe R. 21. Cui Xinglong 8. Ruan Jun 27. Chen H. 10. Onuegbu K.
Substitutes
42. Cao Xiaoyi 17. Hu Shengjia 4. Liang Jinhu 28. Li Shizhou 19. Li Wenyong 16. Peng R. 36. Qi Long 30. Sun Rui 6. Tang Qirun 20. Yang Fan 18. Yue Zhilei 13. Zhu Yueqi (G)	9. Beshathan Zanhar 1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 30. Huang Chuqi 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 12. Xue Yuewei 36. Zhong Ziqin

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 11).

Wuxi Wugou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wuxi Wugou could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dongguan Guanlian is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dongguan Guanlian to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
23.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
15.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Jinan Xingzhou	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	6:2 ✺
02.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Liaoning Tieren - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Dongguan Guanlian	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Dongguan Guanlian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.10.22	Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2
23.07.21	Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2

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