Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Dandong Tengyue		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.75
	1.35	4	8.75
	1.36	4.35	9.87
	1.32	3.9	10
	1.35	4.4	9.3
	1.34	4.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.95)	4.16 ↑ (3.15)	9.05 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandong Tengyue
67.9%

Draw
22%

Wuxi Wugou
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandong Tengyue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandong Tengyue's performance.

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuxi Wugou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandong Tengyue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuxi Wugou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Users Predictions: Dandong Tengyue will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kou Jiahao (G) 5. Qiu Tianyi 4. Yao Diran 25. Li Chenguang 18. Li Xiaoting 40. Liu Zhizhi 28. Lu Yuefeng 8. Gao Haisheng 11. Zimin Nuali 9. Kovacevic M. 37. Brown T.	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 24. Huang Yuxuan 4. Liang Jinhu 25. Yang Wenji 33. Guo Song 3. Li Yi 10. Tong Le (C) 28. Li Shizhou 42. Cao Xiaoyi 37. Gordic M. 17. Hu Shengjia
Substitutes
44. Abdukerim Qaharman 21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 12. Han Zhen (G) 38. Hu M. 27. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 33. Liu Bin 19. Tang Miao 43. Zhang Jialun 7. Zhang Liang	19. Li Wenyong 16. Peng R. 26. Pi Ziyang 36. Qi Long 1. Rong Shang (G) 30. Sun Rui 6. Tang Qirun 20. Yang Fan 18. Yue Zhilei 11. Zhou Yuye

Preview

Dandong Tengyue is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wuxi Wugou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dandong Tengyue is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dandong Tengyue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dandong Tengyue won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
15.07.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dandong Tengyue	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
28.06.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dandong Tengyue	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao Hainiu	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
15.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Jinan Xingzhou	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	6:2 ✺
02.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Liaoning Tieren - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.06.23	Wuxi Wugou - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
26.10.22	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	0:1
09.08.22	Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou	0:0
15.07.22	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	2:1
29.11.21	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	4:0

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