Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Würzburger Kickers		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.8	Watch
	4	3.9	1.83	Watch
	3.65	3.9	1.86
	3.75	3.85	1.84
	3.94	4.12	1.88
	3.8	3.8	1.83
	3.78	4.05	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.57)	3.95 ↑ (3.79)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
24.6%

Draw
24%

Holstein Kiel
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24.9%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

19.1%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	9.7%	58.1%

Würzburger Kickers - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Würzburger Kickers will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators. Limited number of spectators.

Würzburger Kickers has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Holstein Kiel has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Würzburger Kickers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Würzburger Kickers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Holstein Kiel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger Kickers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Würzburger Kickers	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.20	Würzburger Kickers - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Würzburger Kickers - Erzgebirge Aue	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.09.20	Würzburger Kickers - Hannover	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTLLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.20	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Rielasingen-Arlen - Holstein Kiel	1:7 ✺
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Ajax - Holstein Kiel	5:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.05.16	Würzburger Kickers - Holstein Kiel	1:1
28.11.15	Holstein Kiel - Würzburger Kickers	1:2

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