Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	XV de Jaú		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.72	2.82
	2.53	2.67	2.88
	2.61	2.75	2.89	Watch
	2.6	2.63	2.9
	2.52	2.73	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.42)	2.7 ↓ (3)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
35.1%

Draw
33.4%

Catanduva
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+1%)

XV de Jaú - Catanduva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

XV de Jaú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, XV de Jaú has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, XV de Jaú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	União Barbarense - XV de Jaú	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Itapirense - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTW
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Catanduva - Marília	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Catanduva - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1

XV de Jaú - Catanduva