The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
União Suzano 29.5%
Draw 28.8%
XV de Jaú 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
28.3%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
27.6%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for União Suzano aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
União Suzano - XV de Jaú Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Osorio J. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Osorio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Natan Ferreira ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Ardley ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
União Suzano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
XV de Jaú has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
União Suzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
XV de Jaú could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Suzano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.