Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Xelajú		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.9
	1.53	3.85	6.27
	1.52	4.06	6.1	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.57	3.91	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.81 ↑ (3.53)	5.95 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
60.3%

Draw
24.2%

Deportivo Guastatoya
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ubico J. ⚽,
26', Ruiz K. 🟨,
30', Sequen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quezada Gamez H. E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
46', Cardona J. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
46', Ruiz K. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
63', Armas V. ↓, Garrido S. ↑,
64', Tebalan W. ↓, de Oliveira C. ↑,
67', Sequen M. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
67', Garcia N. ↓, Lon A. ↑,
67', Avalos V. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
68', Avalos V. 🟨,
69', Lon A. 🟨,
74', Jaen Y. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
75', Sanchez D. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
81', Almanza J. 🟨,
87', Escobar R. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Romero M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 3.

Xelajú is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guastatoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Xelajú is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.03.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	1:3 ✺
19.03.26	Xelajú - Municipal	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Aurora - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTT
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:0
26.10.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:2
17.08.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	5:0
13.04.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	2:2
08.02.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
15.09.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:1
17.03.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:1

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