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Current Win Probability
Aurora 38.7%
Draw 29%
Xelajú 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
29.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
30%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
Recent results have been tough for Aurora (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Xelajú has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:11 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
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