Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	15:00	FOX Sports


	Aurora		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.45
	2.55	3	2.52
	2.77	3.21	2.58
	2.59	3.37	2.59	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.66	3.33	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.35)	3.17 ↑ (3)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
34.9%

Draw
28.9%

Xelajú
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Aurora - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas D. (G) 3. Acosta M. 57. Aguilar L. 17. Bajan D. 27. Flores C. 15. Garcia K. 18. Grajeda J. 4. Monterroso C. 13. Morales H. 31. Urias V. 10. Vivas J.	1. Silva D. (G) 23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 16. Cardona J. 26. Cardoza E. 18. Castaneda J. 14. Gonzalez J. 70. Jaen Y. 19. Joj J. 10. Lopez A. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
2. Cardona L. 29. Del Cid H. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 67. Hernandez R. 5. Lemus J. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Ruiz D. 22. Sanchez L. (G) 28. Ticuru J.	30. de Leon O. 7. Diaz Y. 12. Gonzalez E. 4. Hernandez M. 24. Marquez R. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. . Racancoj J. 98. Sican E. (G) 8. Ubico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Monterroso C. 🟨,
23', Cardenas S. 🟨,
23', Flores C. 🟨,
31', Acosta M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Cardenas S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cardenas S. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
46', Castaneda J. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
46', Monterroso C. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Aguilar L. ↓, Echeverria Perez A. J. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Morales H. ⚽,
54', Gonzalez J. 🟥,
60', 🟨,
61', Joj J. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Morales H. ⚽,
79', Morales H. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
81', Urias V. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
83', Jaen Y. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
83', Cardoza E. ↓, de Leon O. ↑,
90+1', Garcia K. ↓, Lemus J. ↑,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Aurora (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Xelajú has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:11 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	16	7	3	6	28:20	8	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.10.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Aurora - Marquense	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Aurora - Municipal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.10.26	Xelajú - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
23.09.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Suchitepéquez - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.08.26	Xelajú - Aurora	3:1
08.03.26	Aurora - Xelajú	0:0
20.01.26	Xelajú - Aurora	4:0
16.11.25	Aurora - Xelajú	3:2
13.09.25	Xelajú - Aurora	2:2

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